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GDP Deflator is an annualized change in inflation for all economic activity implied by GDP.
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Change in the value of all goods and services produced by the economy; It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health; There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart – Preliminary, Revised, and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact;
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Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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index based on surveyed manufacturers in New York state; A reading above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, investment, and hiring; Survey of about 200 manufacturers in New York state which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions;
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Measures the total value of output produced by factories, mines, and utilities. Industrial Production reacts quickly to the ups and downs of the business cycle and can be a leading indicator of manufacturing employment, average earnings, and personal income. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because high levels of production are a sign of a strong economy.
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Statement on Monetary Policy is published quarterly and provides a detailed assessment of current economic conditions, prospects for inflation, and output growth. Traders scrutinize this report as it holds critical insights into the bank's view of inflation and the economic conditions that will effect interest rates.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services.CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco; The Core data has a mild impact relative to other countries because overall CPI is the central bank's mandated inflation target;
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Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers, excluding food and energy; Food and energy prices make up about 40% of overall PPI which tends to mute the importance of the Core data;
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The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
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Difference in value between foreign long-term securities purchased by US citizens and US long-term securities purchased by foreigners during the reported period; This data represents the balance of domestic and foreign investment - for example, if foreigners purchased $100 billion in US stocks and bonds, and the US purchased $30 billion in foreign stocks and bonds, the net reading would be 70.0B. The market impact tends to be significant but varies from month to month; Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities;
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Measures overall economic health by combining ten leading indicators including average weekly hours, stock prices, consumer expectations, new orders, interest rate spreads, and housing permits.
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Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; This data has added importance because it's released ahead of CPI; It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer.
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Measures the change in spending for services and goods. Similar to the Tertiary Industry Activity Index, it adds data from the primary sector, including farming, fishing, forestry,manufacturing, and mining.
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Measures the unit sales for new vehicles. Demand for vehicles has historically been a leading indicator of trends in overall consumer spending; therefore, a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Bank of England (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) Meeting Minutes are a detailed record of the committee's interest rate meeting held about two weeks earlier. The minutes expose the votes cast at the meeting. It also providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates;
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index based on surveyed manufacturers; A reading above 0 indicates increasing order volume is expected, below indicates expectations are for lower volume; Survey of about 550 manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of order volume expected during the next 3 months; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their expectations can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, investment, and hiring.
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because permits are a leading indicator for the housing market as they signal a a healthy construction industry.This also creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services.CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures overall economic health by combining ten leading indicators including average weekly hours, stock prices, consumer expectations, new orders, interest rate spreads, and housing permits.
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Change in the price of goods and services purchased by consumers, excluding food, energy, alcohol, and tobacco; The Core data has a mild impact relative to other countries because overall CPI is the central bank's mandated inflation target;
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Total value of domestic stocks, bonds, and money-market assets purchased by foreigners during the reported month; Demand for domestic securities and currency demand are directly linked because foreigners must buy the domestic currency to purchase the nation's securities; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency;
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because obtaining a permit is one of the first steps in the home construction process. Permits therefore act as a leading indicator for the housing market. A high level of housing activity signals that the construction industry is healthy and that consumers have the capital to make large investments. More importantly, new housing activity creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods such as appliances and furniture for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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The level of inventories of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
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It's a detailed record of the FOMC's most recent meeting, providing in-depth insights into the economic conditions that influenced their vote on where to set interest rates.
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Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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Change in the price of finished goods and services sold by producers; Tends to have more impact when it's released ahead of the CPI data because the reports are tightly correlated; It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when producers charge more for goods and services the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer;
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Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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Difference in value between spending and income for public corporations and local government during the previous month.
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The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. It's the earliest data available for the US economy as it is reported weekly, and the market impact of this indicator fluctuates from week to week. There tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose the impact of recent developments. Actual lower than Forecast is Good for currency.
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Change in the total value of sales at the wholesale level; It's a leading indicator of consumer spending - retailers generally order more goods from wholesalers when they expect consumer sales to increase;
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index based on surveyed manufacturers in Philadelphia; A reading above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. This survey tends to have a relatively mild impact because it's released a few days after the tightly correlated Empire State Manufacturing Index; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, investment, and hiring; Survey of about 250 manufacturers in the Philadelphia Federal Reserve district which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions.
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The Bank of Canada Review is a quartarly publication featuring articles related to the economy and central banking, with summary statistical tables.
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Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's massive oil sands;
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Measures the total credit card expenditures for brand name credit cards. Consumer spending is a major driver of the economy (about two-thirds of GDP); therefore, rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Interest rate at which the BOJ rediscounts bills and extends loans to financial institutions; Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; Source does not give an exact release time - the event will be listed as 'Tentative' until the rate is announced. The rate shift is often priced in the market so it tends to be overshadowed by the Monetary Policy Statement released at the same time and the BOJ Press Conference held a few hours later.
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Change in the total value of inflation-adjusted goods expenditures by consumers; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; A reading above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are two versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source began reporting in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance. Full reports are only available to journalists registered with Markit; Survey of purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy.
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The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; A reading above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are two versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source began reporting in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance. Full reports are only available to journalists registered with Markit; Survey of purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy
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index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the manufacturing industry; A reading above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are two versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance; Survey of purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy
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index based on surveyed purchasing managers in the services industry; Survey of about 400 purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment,new orders, production, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories; A reading above 50.0 indicates industry expansion, below indicates contraction. There are two versions of this report released about a week apart – Flash and Final. The Flash release, which the source began reporting in Mar 2008, is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact. The Final is not reported for lack of significance. Full reports are only available to journalists registered with Markit; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and their purchasing managers hold perhaps the most current and relevant insight into the company's view of the economy
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It's among the primary tools the BOJ uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions.
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