Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because permits are a leading indicator for the housing market as they signal a a healthy construction industry.This also creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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Change in the total inflation-adjusted value of output produced by manufacturers, mines, and utilities; There are two versions of this indicator released about 15 days apart - Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; It's a leading indicator of economic health - production reacts quickly to ups and downs in the business cycle, and is correlated with consumer conditions such as employment levels and earnings.
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Measures the number of home loans issued during the previous month. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because such large purchasesare usually made by consumers who are optimistic and confident in their financial standing.
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Measures the total value of outstanding home loans and consumer installment debt, such as credit cards and auto loans. A rising trend positively effects the nation's currency because of the correlation between consumer borrowing and spending.
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Measures consumers' moods in regard to economic conditions. It is derived from a monthly survey in which respondents evaluate the prospects for the economy in the future. Higher readings point to higher consumer optimism. Consumers tend to purchase more goods and services when they are optimistic, which in turn stimulates the economy.
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a composite index based on surveyed consumers; Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; Survey of about 2,000 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of past and future economic conditions, including personal financial situation, climate for major purchases, and overall economic situation.
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The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the percentage of total work force that is unemployed and is actively seeking employment during the previous month. A falling trend positively effects the nation's currency because working people tend to increase their spending, with their purchases making up a large portion of GDP.
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Change in the total value of new credit issued to consumers and businesses; Borrowing and spending are positively correlated - consumers and businesses tend to seek credit when they are confident in their future financial position and feel comfortable spending money; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency.
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Measures the monthly change in the wages paid to jobholders. Higher levels of income allow consumers to spend more, so a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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index based on surveyed manufacturers, builders, retailers, agricultural firms, and service providers; A reading above 0.0 indicates optimism, below indicates pessimism; Survey of about 1,500 businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative 12-month economic outlook; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, investment, and hiring.
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because permits are a leading indicator for the housing market as they signal a a healthy construction industry.This also creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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Change in the selling price of homes with mortgages backed by Nationwide; This is the UK's second earliest report on housing inflation. The impact tends to be significant but varies from month to month; It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity.
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a composite index based on 5 consumer-based economic indicators; Combined reading of 5 economic indicators related to consumer confidence, consumer spending, and retail activity; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency.
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Measures the value of all currency and liquid cash assets held by the public. The commonly held theory is that elevated currency levels spur growth and have an inflationary effect, leading to higher interest rates; however, some believe that an increased supply of money will trigger an equal drop in demand, leading to a lower currency valuation. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency, although the relationship is not entirely reliable.
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Change in the value of all goods and services produced by the economy; The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Revised release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 3 versions of GDP released a month apart - Preliminary, Revised, and Final. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact; It's the broadest measure of economic activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health
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Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous quarter; This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the Trade Balance data released about a week earlier; It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country;
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release as it measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Flash Estimate measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. The Flash Estimate is released about two weeks ahead of the complete CPI report and is derived from current energy prices and early inflation data from EU member states. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) measures the rate of inflation for goods as they leave the manufacturing plants. The IPPI excludes indirect taxes and all costs that occur between the time a good leaves the plant and the time the final user takes possession of it (e.g., transportation, wholesale, and retail costs).
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The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) measures the rate of inflation for raw materials purchased by manufacturers. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy and is the broadest measure of activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. The central bank is more likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy, and foreign investors favorably view a strong economy because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. These effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Chicago Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the health of the Chicago business environment. It's derived from a monthly survey of purchasing managers where respondents indicate whether their organization's activity is higher than, the same as, or lower than the previous month for output, purchases, employment, inventories, orders, and prices. An index reading above 50 indicates sector expansion.
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a composite index based on 5 consumer-based economic indicators; Combined reading of 5 economic indicators related to consumer confidence, consumer spending, and retail activity; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency.
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index based on surveyed large businesses, excluding the manufacturing industry; A reading above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions; Survey of about 1,200 large businesses which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, investment, and hiring
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index based on surveyed large manufacturers; A reading above 0.0 indicates improving conditions, below indicates worsening conditions. Manufacturing plays a critical role in the Japanese economy, and this survey is considered the best indicator of the industry's health due to it's large sample size and respected source; Survey of about 1,200 large manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of general business conditions; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses react quickly to market conditions, and changes in their sentiment can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, investment, and hiring.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because permits are a leading indicator for the housing market as they signal a a healthy construction industry.This also creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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Measures the value of sales at the retail level. It is the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior and is susceptible to surprises. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which has a sizable impact on GDP.
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The Schweizerischer Verband für Materialwirtschaft und Einkauf (SVME) Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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GVA is the difference between the value of a service provided (output), and the value of the goods and services used up in providing that service (intermediate consumption). This index measures the gross value added (GVA) of all service sectors.
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The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Change in the price of homes financed by HBOS; The exact release date is usually not announced by HBOS until shortly before it's released - it will be listed as 'Tentative' until the exact timing is known. There are two earlier reports on housing inflation, but this data is broad and based on HBOS's internal mortgage approval figures, which can lead sale-completion indicators by more than a month; It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency;
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might cause Low liquidity and irregular volatility.
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This indicator measures the change in number of job cuts and is released by the private placement firm, Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
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Measures the change in the number of signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos and co-ops.
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The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Prices survey of 400 firms measures the monthly inflation experienced by manufacturing organizations when purchasing materials and services.
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Measures the total amount spent by builders on private and public construction projects.
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The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The level of inventories of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
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Measures the value of all currency and liquid cash assets held by the public. The commonly held theory is that elevated currency levels spur growth and have an inflationary effect, leading to higher interest rates; however, some believe that an increased supply of money will trigger an equal drop in demand, leading to a lower currency valuation. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency, although the relationship is not entirely reliable.
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Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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ANZ, one of New Zealand's leading banking and financial services firms, releases this indicator monthly which measures the rate of inflation for the nation's seventeen main commodity exports.
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The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the percentage of total work force that is unemployed and is actively seeking employment during the previous month. A falling trend positively effects the nation's currency because working people tend to increase their spending, with their purchases making up a large portion of GDP.
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The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
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Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system; Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency.
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Measures the change in number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Job creation is an important indicator of economic health because consumer spending, which is highly correlated with labor conditions, makes up a large portion of GDP.
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The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. It's the earliest data available for the US economy as it is reported weekly, and the market impact of this indicator fluctuates from week to week. There tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose the impact of recent developments. Actual lower than Forecast is Good for currency.
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Measures the rate of inflation found in the wages paid to non-farm jobholders. Traders view wage inflation as a leading indicator of consumer inflation because when businesses pay more for labor, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer.
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Measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for durable and non-durable goods. Does not have the same impact as the Durable Goods Orders report released over a week earlier because it reports much of the same information.
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Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's massive oil sands;
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services.CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates to bring prices down. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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might cause Low liquidity and irregular volatility.
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