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Hour GMT |
Event |
Cur. |
Act. |
Fore. |
Prev. |
Priority |
Survey of about 200 manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories;
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Measures the value of all currency and liquid cash assets held by the public. The commonly held theory is that elevated currency levels spur growth and have an inflationary effect, leading to higher interest rates; however, some believe that an increased supply of money will trigger an equal drop in demand, leading to a lower currency valuation. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency, although the relationship is not entirely reliable.
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Annualized number of new single-family homes that were sold during the previous month; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency; While this is monthly data, it's reported in an annualized format. Tends to have more impact when it's released ahead of Existing Home Sales because the reports are tightly correlated; It's a leading indicator of economic health because the sale of a new home triggers a wide-reaching ripple effect. For example, furniture and appliances are purchased for the home, a mortgage is sold by the financing bank, and brokers are paid to execute the transaction;
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The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Survey of purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories;
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The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the total value of outstanding home loans and consumer installment debt, such as credit cards and auto loans. A rising trend positively effects the nation's currency because of the correlation between consumer borrowing and spending.
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Measures the number of home loans issued during the previous month. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because such large purchasesare usually made by consumers who are optimistic and confident in their financial standing.
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Measures the total amount of income received by individuals. Higher levels of income allow consumers to spend more, so a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the total amount spent by builders on private and public construction projects.
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The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the value of all currency and liquid cash assets held by the public. The commonly held theory is that elevated currency levels spur growth and have an inflationary effect, leading to higher interest rates; however, some believe that an increased supply of money will trigger an equal drop in demand, leading to a lower currency valuation. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency, although the relationship is not entirely reliable.
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Change in the price of homes financed by HBOS; The exact release date is usually not announced by HBOS until shortly before it's released - it will be listed as 'Tentative' until the exact timing is known. There are two earlier reports on housing inflation, but this data is broad and based on HBOS's internal mortgage approval figures, which can lead sale-completion indicators by more than a month; It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency;
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Measures the monthly change in the wages paid to jobholders. Higher levels of income allow consumers to spend more, so a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Each month the Central Bank Council meets to set the nation's short term interest rate, followed by a statement that contains the decided rate and a press conference regarding the economic conditions that affected their decision (usually dependent on inflation).The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. A rising trend in interest rates has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increase demand for the nation's currency.
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It's among the primary tools the RBNZ uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it discusses the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future votes.
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The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
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The British Retail Consortium (BRC) Shop Price Index measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) at surveyed retailers.
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Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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This indicator measures the change in number of job cuts and is released by the private placement firm, Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
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Estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry and government; Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; ADP provides payroll services to many corporations in the US. They use the data collected from their customers to derive the overall employment estimations; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency.
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The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Composite measures activity level, new orders, empoyement and supplier deliveries of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the percentage of total work force that is unemployed and is actively seeking employment during the previous month. A falling trend positively effects the nation's currency because working people tend to increase their spending, with their purchases making up a large portion of GDP.
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Measures the change in number of employed people during the previous month. Job creation is an important indicator of economic health because consumer spending, which makes up a large portion of GDP. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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It's among the primary tools the MPC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their vote on interest rates, projects the economic outlook, and offers clues on the outcome of future votes;
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because permits are a leading indicator for the housing market as they signal a a healthy construction industry.This also creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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Each month the Bank of England (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) votes to set the nation's short term interest rate, followed by a statement that contains the decided rate and a press conference regarding the economic conditions that affected their decision (usually dependent on inflation).The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. A rising trend in interest rates has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increase demand for the nation's currency
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Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system; Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency.
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The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. It's the earliest data available for the US economy as it is reported weekly, and the market impact of this indicator fluctuates from week to week. There tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose the impact of recent developments. Actual lower than Forecast is Good for currency.
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ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet and other ECB members hold a monthly press conference after the rate release. First, Trichet reads a prepared statement and then the conference is open to press questions. It is the primary method the ECB uses to communicate with investors, covering in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate decision, the overall economic outlook, inflation, and , clues regarding future monetary policy. More hawkish than expected is good for currency.
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because obtaining a permit is one of the first steps in the home construction process. Permits therefore act as a leading indicator for the housing market. A high level of housing activity signals that the construction industry is healthy and that consumers have the capital to make large investments. More importantly, new housing activity creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods such as appliances and furniture for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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The Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's massive oil sands;
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The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Statement on Monetary Policy is published quarterly and provides a detailed assessment of current economic conditions, prospects for inflation, and output growth. Traders scrutinize this report as it holds critical insights into the bank's view of inflation and the economic conditions that will effect interest rates.
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Measures the difference between the central government's monthly income and spending, with a positive number indicating more revenue was received than spent during the month.
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Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; This data has added importance because it's released ahead of CPI; It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer.
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Measures the percentage of total work force that is unemployed and is actively seeking employment during the previous month. A falling trend positively effects the nation's currency because working people tend to increase their spending, with their purchases making up a large portion of GDP.
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Measures the change in number of employed people during the previous month. Job creation is an important indicator of economic health because consumer spending, which makes up a large portion of GDP. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the percentage of total work force that is unemployed and is actively seeking employment during the previous month. A falling trend positively effects the nation's currency because working people tend to increase their spending, with their purchases making up a large portion of GDP.
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Measures the change in number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Job creation is an important indicator of economic health because consumer spending, which is highly correlated with labor conditions, makes up a large portion of GDP.
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Measures the total value of outstanding consumer installment debt, such as credit cards and auto loans. Consumer borrowing and spending have a high degree of correlation, so a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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