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Hour GMT |
Event |
Cur. |
Act. |
Fore. |
Prev. |
Priority |
Survey of about 200 manufacturers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories;
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Measures the value of all currency and liquid cash assets held by the public. The commonly held theory is that elevated currency levels spur growth and have an inflationary effect, leading to higher interest rates; however, some believe that an increased supply of money will trigger an equal drop in demand, leading to a lower currency valuation. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency, although the relationship is not entirely reliable.
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Measures the value of sales at the retail level. It is the first significant indicator of the month that relates to consumer behavior and is susceptible to surprises. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because Retail Sales make up a large portion of consumer spending, which has a sizable impact on GDP.
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Change in the price of imported goods and services purchased domestically; It contributes to inflation for businesses and consumers, especially those who rely heavily on imported goods and services;
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Change in the price of homes financed by HBOS; The exact release date is usually not announced by HBOS until shortly before it's released - it will be listed as 'Tentative' until the exact timing is known. There are two earlier reports on housing inflation, but this data is broad and based on HBOS's internal mortgage approval figures, which can lead sale-completion indicators by more than a month; It's a leading indicator of the housing industry's health because rising house prices attract investors and spur industry activity; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency;
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Difference in value between imported and exported goods, services, income flows, and unilateral transfers during the previous quarter; This is the seasonally adjusted data (as most FF numbers are), not to be confused with the non-seasonally adjusted number reported by some news agencies. The goods portion has no impact because it's a duplicate of the Trade Balance data released about a week earlier; It's directly linked to currency demand - a rising surplus indicates that foreigners are buying more of the domestic currency to execute transactions in the country;
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The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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ANZ, one of New Zealand's leading banking and financial services firms, releases this indicator monthly which measures the rate of inflation for the nation's seventeen main commodity exports.
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The Schweizerischer Verband für Materialwirtschaft und Einkauf (SVME) Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Survey of purchasing managers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories;
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Measures the number of home loans issued during the previous month. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because such large purchasesare usually made by consumers who are optimistic and confident in their financial standing.
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Measures the total value of outstanding home loans and consumer installment debt, such as credit cards and auto loans. A rising trend positively effects the nation's currency because of the correlation between consumer borrowing and spending.
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The Manufacturing Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the percentage of total work force that is unemployed and is actively seeking employment during the previous month. A falling trend positively effects the nation's currency because working people tend to increase their spending, with their purchases making up a large portion of GDP.
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The Raw Materials Price Index (RMPI) measures the rate of inflation for raw materials purchased by manufacturers. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Industrial Product Price Index (IPPI) measures the rate of inflation for goods as they leave the manufacturing plants. The IPPI excludes indirect taxes and all costs that occur between the time a good leaves the plant and the time the final user takes possession of it (e.g., transportation, wholesale, and retail costs).
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Measures the total amount of income received by individuals. Higher levels of income allow consumers to spend more, so a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy and is the broadest measure of activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. The central bank is more likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy, and foreign investors favorably view a strong economy because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. These effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the total amount spent by consumers on goods and services. Consumer spending accounts for about two-thirds of GDP, so a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services, excluding Food and Energy. Traders watch the Core PCE Price Index closely because it's the Federal Reserve's preferred consumer inflation indicator. It reflects the price change in consumer goods and services, but it differs slightly from CPI in that it only measures goods and services targeted towards and consumed by individuals. It is thought to be a better indicator of the underlying inflation trend without the volatile components of Food and Energy.
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The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Index measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Manufacturing Prices survey of 400 firms measures the monthly inflation experienced by manufacturing organizations when purchasing materials and services.
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Measures the total amount spent by builders on private and public construction projects.
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Measures the percentage of total work force that is unemployed and is actively seeking employment during the previous month. A falling trend positively effects the nation's currency because working people tend to increase their spending, with their purchases making up a large portion of GDP.
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Measures the value of all currency and liquid cash assets held by the public. The commonly held theory is that elevated currency levels spur growth and have an inflationary effect, leading to higher interest rates; however, some believe that an increased supply of money will trigger an equal drop in demand, leading to a lower currency valuation. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency, although the relationship is not entirely reliable.
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because permits are a leading indicator for the housing market as they signal a a healthy construction industry.This also creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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Each month the Central Bank Council meets to set the nation's short term interest rate, followed by a statement that contains the decided rate and a press conference regarding the economic conditions that affected their decision (usually dependent on inflation).The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. A rising trend in interest rates has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increase demand for the nation's currency.
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Each month, excluding January, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Board meets to set the nation's short term interest rate, then they release a statement that contains the decided rate, a brief commentary of the economic conditions that effected their decision, and clues regarding the outcome of future meetings. The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 3%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. The decision on where to set interest rates depends mostly on inflation. Short term rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increases demand for the nation's currency.
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Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy and is the broadest measure of activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. The central bank is more likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy, and foreign investors favorably view a strong economy because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. These effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Chartered Institute of Purchasing and Supply (CIPS) Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Producer Price Index (PPI) measures the rate of inflation experienced by manufacturers when purchasing goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. When manufactures pay more for goods and services, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer, so PPI is thought to be a leading indicator of consumer inflation. PPI is highly regarded, and at extremes will have a market impact equal to that of its CPI counterpart.
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The Consumer Price Index (CPI) Flash Estimate measures the rate of inflation experienced by consumers when purchasing goods and services. The Flash Estimate is released about two weeks ahead of the complete CPI report and is derived from current energy prices and early inflation data from EU member states. Higher interest rates attract foreign investment, thus increasing demand for the nation's currency. CPI is one of the most closely watched indicators and will usually have a high impact upon release. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Interest rate at which major financial institutions borrow and lend overnight funds among themselves; Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; The rate shift is often priced in the market so it tends to be overshadowed by the BOC Statement which is focused on the future;
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It's the primary tool the BOC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains the outcome of their decision on interest rates and commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their decision. Most importantly, it projects the economic outlook and offers clues on the outcome of future rate decisions.
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The British Retail Consortium (BRC) Shop Price Index measures the rate of inflation (i.e., the rate of price changes) at surveyed retailers.
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index based on surveyed consumers; Financial confidence is a leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; Survey of about 1,000 consumers which asks respondents to rate the relative level of current and future economic conditions;
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Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all goods and services produced by the economy and is the broadest measure of activity and the primary indicator of the economy's health. The central bank is more likely to raise interest rates in the face of a strong and growing economy, and foreign investors favorably view a strong economy because it spurs investment opportunities in the domestic stock and bond markets. These effects can have a large impact on the demand for the nation's currency. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the monthly change in the wages paid to jobholders. Higher levels of income allow consumers to spend more, so a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The Services Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Change in the total value of sales at the retail level; This is the earliest and broadest look at vital consumer spending data; It's the primary indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity;
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This indicator measures the change in number of job cuts and is released by the private placement firm, Challenger, Gray & Christmas.
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Estimated change in the number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry and government; Job creation is an important leading indicator of consumer spending, which accounts for a majority of overall economic activity; ADP provides payroll services to many corporations in the US. They use the data collected from their customers to derive the overall employment estimations; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency.
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The Institute of Supply Management (ISM) Non-Manufacturing Composite measures activity level, new orders, empoyement and supplier deliveries of purchasing managers in the services sector, with a reading above 50 indicating expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects including employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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The level of inventories of barrels of crude oil held in inventory by commercial firms during the past week influences the price of petroleum products, which can have an impact on inflation and other economic forces.
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This analysis is used by the FOMC to help make their next decision on interest rates. However, it tends to produce a mild impact as the FOMC also receives two non-public books - the Green Book and the Blue Book - which are widely believed to be more influential to their rate decision
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Change in the total value of new capital expenditures made by businesses; It's a leading indicator of economic health - businesses are quickly affected by market conditions, and changes in their investment levels can be an early signal of future economic activity such as spending, hiring and earnings.
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It's among the primary tools the MPC uses to communicate with investors about monetary policy. It contains commentary about the economic conditions that influenced their vote on interest rates, projects the economic outlook, and offers clues on the outcome of future votes;
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Measures the difference in value between imported and exported goods and services. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency as demand for the currency is elevated as foreigners convert their native currency to purchase exports. A positive Trade Balance indicates that more gods and servies were exported than imported in a given period. It has a big impact on GDP because high demand for exports increases employment and production.
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Each month the Bank of England (BOE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) votes to set the nation's short term interest rate, followed by a statement that contains the decided rate and a press conference regarding the economic conditions that affected their decision (usually dependent on inflation).The primary objective of the central bank is to achieve price stability; when inflation rises above an annualized rate of approximately 2%, they will respond by raising interest rates in an attempt to bring prices down. A rising trend in interest rates has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Short term rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation; traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how interest rates may change in the future. High interest rates attract foreigners looking for the best "risk-free" return on their money, which can dramatically increase demand for the nation's currency
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Interest rate on the main refinancing operations that provide the bulk of liquidity to the banking system; Short term interest rates are the paramount factor in currency valuation - traders look at most other indicators merely to predict how rates will change in the future; Actual higher than Forecast is Good for currency.
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ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet and other ECB members hold a monthly press conference after the rate release. First, Trichet reads a prepared statement and then the conference is open to press questions. It is the primary method the ECB uses to communicate with investors, covering in detail the factors that affected the most recent interest rate decision, the overall economic outlook, inflation, and , clues regarding future monetary policy. More hawkish than expected is good for currency.
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Measures the number of new residential building permits issued. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency because obtaining a permit is one of the first steps in the home construction process. Permits therefore act as a leading indicator for the housing market. A high level of housing activity signals that the construction industry is healthy and that consumers have the capital to make large investments. More importantly, new housing activity creates an economic ripple effect as home owners buy goods such as appliances and furniture for their homes, and builders buy raw materials and hire more workers to meet demand.
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Annualized change in labor efficiency when producing goods and services, excluding the farming industry; Productivity and labor inflation are directly linked - a drop in a worker's productivity is equivalent to a rise in their wage. When businesses pay more for labor the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer; While this is q/q data, it's reported in an annualized format (quarterly change x4). The 'Previous' listed is the 'Actual' from the Preliminary release and therefore the 'History' data will appear unconnected. There are 2 versions of this report released a month apart – Preliminary and Revised. The Preliminary release is the earliest and thus tends to have the most impact.
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The number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time during the past week. It's the earliest data available for the US economy as it is reported weekly, and the market impact of this indicator fluctuates from week to week. There tends to be more focus on the release when traders need to diagnose the impact of recent developments. Actual lower than Forecast is Good for currency.
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The Construction Purchasing Manager's Index (PMI) measures the activity level of purchasing managers in the manufacturing sector; a reading above 50 indicates expansion. Purchasing managers are surveyed on a number of subjects such as employment, production, new orders, supplier deliveries, and inventories for the index. Traders watch these surveys closely because purchasing managers have early access to data about their company’s performance, which can be a leading indicator of overall economic performance. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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Measures the change in the number of signed real estate contracts for existing single-family homes, condos and co-ops.
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Measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for durable and non-durable goods. Does not have the same impact as the Durable Goods Orders report released over a week earlier because it reports much of the same information.
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Change in the number of cubic feet of natural gas held in underground storage during the past week; While this is a US indicator, it most affects the loonie due to Canada's massive oil sands;
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Change in the price of goods and raw materials purchased by manufacturers; This data has added importance because it's released ahead of CPI; It's a leading indicator of consumer inflation - when manufacturers pay more for goods the higher costs are usually passed on to the consumer.
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Measures the value of new purchase orders placed with domestic manufacturers for non-durable and durable goods.
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Measures the percentage of total work force that is unemployed and is actively seeking employment during the previous month. A falling trend positively effects the nation's currency because working people tend to increase their spending, with their purchases making up a large portion of GDP.
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Measures the rate of inflation found in the wages paid to non-farm jobholders. Traders view wage inflation as a leading indicator of consumer inflation because when businesses pay more for labor, they are likely to pass the higher costs to the consumer.
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Measures the change in number of employed people during the previous month, excluding the farming industry. This report is the first of the month that relates to labor conditions, making it susceptible to big surprises. A rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency. Job creation is an important indicator of economic health because consumer spending, which is highly correlated with labor conditions, makes up a large portion of GDP.
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Measures the total value of outstanding consumer installment debt, such as credit cards and auto loans. Consumer borrowing and spending have a high degree of correlation, so a rising trend has a positive effect on the nation's currency.
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